Bonds
Bonds sound safe, warm and cuddly: "My word is my bond" and so on. But they aren't. Bonds are complicated; and if you don't hold them to maturity, risky. They are for experienced investors only.
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A bond is an instrument that pays a predetermined rate of interest over a fixed period of time (the "term") before returning your original investment. Sometimes the term is infinite, when the bond is said to be "irredeemable".
Bonds are loans in tradeable form. They are created by organisations that want to raise money. The bond is a promise by the organisation to the holder to pay regular interest and a capital sum at some future date. In exchange for this promise the holder gives the organisation money. The organisation is said to 'issue' the bonds and is the 'issuer'. The issuee, who is the first holder, is said to 'buy' the bonds. The bonds can then be bought and sold for prices determined as in any market - by buyers'/sellers' perception of the value of the promise the bond represents.
Sounds pretty simple, eh? But it gets complicated because of two things:
- the mathematics of interest rates, and
- the risk of default
Types of bond
There are any number of ways to categorise bonds. We think the most useful split is into:
- Government bonds (UK government bonds are called "gilt-edged" or "gilts")
- Corporate bonds (bonds issued by companies) of investment grade
- Other corporate bonds (sometimes called "junk bonds" or "high yield bonds")
There are many other innovative bond variants, such as convertible bonds and bonds with attached warrants, which are perfectly respectable but for the experienced investor only.
In all bonds the things that matter are the yield, the term and the default risk.
Yield
"Yield" is more complex than it seems. You need to understand:
- the different types of yield - running yield, yield to maturity, yield to redemption and coupon. See Yield.
- the effect of interest rate changes on capital values. See Yield.
- the term structure of interest rates (a 5-year bond will have a different yield to redemption to a 10-year bond). See Yield Curve.
.....and if you can't face this maths (we sympathise) just read 'Price Risk' below.
Default
To evaluate a bond the market needs to judge the default risk. This is the risk that capital will not be returned on time, or ever. Bonds with a higher default risk need to have a higher yield in compensation.
There is no default risk on gilts. There is a tiny, but non-zero, default risk on the bonds of other developed economies. If you want to judge the default risk on the bonds of Upper Ruritania, the best of luck.
The analysis of default risk on a corporate bond is a complex technical task. It's possibly harder than judging the price of an equity share. Junks bonds will have a higher default risk than investment grade bonds.
Tax
Gilts and direct issues of corporate bonds are not subject to capital gains tax. This means that if you buy a bond close to maturity with a low coupon at a time of high interest rates its yield to maturity will consist mostly of untaxed capital gain instead of taxed coupon. Frankly, if you've got the skills and the time to recognise and profit from this you should be spending it on promoting your career not fiddling with your finances.
Price Risk
You may have skipped over the points in 'Yield' above. We emphasise: if long-term interest rates move from 4% to 5% the price of a long-term bond will drop 20%. This applies just as much to your safe-as-houses gilt as to your dodgy junk bond. Yield.
Other traps
Beware of instruments described as bonds that turn out not to be the sort of bond you thought they were. For example, Structured Bonds.
You may assume that bonds are issued at par (face value). They aren't.
And finally, it is difficult to buy bonds (though some platforms have begun to offer them). The unskilled private investor gets driven towards bond funds. And that is not necessarily a good place to be for the private investor.